Analysis of the Clippers' Financial Situation This Summer

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ClipperKyle32
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Even before the Clippers' final game was over on Thursday night, questions started popping up about what the Clippers can and will do in this off-season.

Now, it's time to get started by looking at the Clippers' financial situation.

The NBA's salary cap this year is projected at $63.2 million, and the tax line is projected at $77 million (putting the "apron" at $81 million).

The biggest tool of the off-season is the Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception. This year, it's worth a starting salary of $5.305 million, but, as in years past, the apron becomes the hard cap once the MLE is used. The apron also becomes the hard cap for any team that acquires a player in a sign-and-trade deal, or any team that uses their BAE. Since the Clippers could potentially do all three of those things this summer, it's important to remember that no matter what, the Clippers must be able to field their full roster for under $81 million.

The Bi-Annual Exception is worth $2.077 million next season. Putting that together with the $5.305 million value of the MLE, and the magic number for the Clippers is $73.618 million. If the Clippers wish to use both the MLE and the BAE, they must do EVERYTHING else-even minimum deals to round out the roster and cap holds, for $73.618 million or under.

Right now, it's unclear what exactly "else" is. If, as Steve Perrin predicts, all three Clippers with player options opt out, then the team will have $78,587,301 in salaries and cap holds for 15 players (including a cap hold for their draft pick). If Darren Collison leaves for a bigger contract, as is expected, then that number drops to $76,307,301 for 14 players. If the Clippers cut Willie Green, the number moves to about $74.9M for 13 players (note that the Clippers could use Green's unguaranteed deal as salary filler/sweetener in a trade instead of cutting him). From there, renouncing two more of Turkoglu, Granger, and Davis brings the Clippers below the $73.681 million benchmark for 11 players. Using the two exceptions would bring the total to just under the apron for 13 or 14 players (depending on whether or not the team splits the MLE). They could potentially also do a sign and trade deal to acquire a player as long as they don't put themselves over the apron.

It's hard to say how each individual potential move that the Clippers could make would affect their overall situation because everything is so contingent upon everything else, but we'll keep updating the spreadsheets as moves happen in the next three months. The first step will be seeing whether or not Collison, Davis, and Granger accept or decline their player options.

http://www.clipsnation.com/2014/5/18/57 ... his-summer

I was looking at many of the comments and someone suggested that the Clippers move Jamal and other pieces for a such deal for Melo/Shumpert. I wonder if we should or should have pulled off that Shumpert trade. Now, even though Phil wasn't the President, I believe we are not on the best of terms with NY.

As I see it. They way for the Clippers to get anything is to trade Jamal,Barnes,Green,Bullock,Dudley,picks, and possibly DJ , but I doubt that happens.

Here Are Some Comments

Quote:

I'm thinking ideally

CP3/Redick/S&T SF/Blake/DJ

FA PG/Green(?)/Pierce(BAE)/Baby or Turk or Granger/FA C

The Clippers need the following:

Pull off a trade for a SF

get one of those PFs to come back for the min (or 120%)

get a backup PG or C (either split MLE, or get one through a trade)

If we use Jamal+Bullock to get a SF we can use Barnes+rookie to get a PG or C, then the MLE on the other one.

Barnes is getting 3.4. Rookie is about 1.

That's about a million less than the MLE. Even though we could take back more in salary matching rules, remember that we're walking the tight rope on the apron, so just because we can do it in an isolated deal doesn't mean it would work in our overall situation.

I think the best bet would be to try Jamal+Bullock for Ariza at 7M, then Barnes+28 for Koufos or Dalembert. The first trade takes on a little more salary, the second trade sends out a little more salary. Overall we end up pretty even. Re-sign one of the three PFs for the min (probably Baby because ORL is still paying him). Use the BAE on Pierce.

That should leave the Clippers with Paul, Redick, Green, Ariza, Pierce, Dudley, Griffin, Baby, Jordan, Koufos/Dalembert. Get two min guys (one is probably Hollins back) and then with whatever space is left give Collison the MLE.

Paul/Redick/Ariza/Griffin/Jordan

Collison/Green/Pierce/Baby/Koufos or Dalembert

Min guard/Dudley/Hollins

by Lucas Hann on May 18, 2014

Quote:
But at the end of the day, I have a feeling we won't see that drastic of changes. First off, I think Ariza may get a little more than 7M, and on top of that, he probably wants to stay with Washington. From there, I think Deng will command more than we would want to pay him (some team will overpay him for sure).

Unless a big name player like LeBron/Melo essentially demands his way to the Clippers, I really don't see us changing our core. Unfortunately, I think Collison leaves for a bigger contract and we keep #28. Then we sign Pierce for BAE (Doc BETTER not give him full MLE), and then use MLE on a combination of Livingston/decent backup big. We end up with

Cp3/Redick/Barnes/Griffin/DJ

Livingston/Crawford/Pierce/Davis/#28 and or FA. Maybe we swing a deal using Bullock, but I think we hang on to Jamal unfortunately.

I think Collison walks... Granger may as well , but I think Big Baby stays... Like someone said, Orlando is still paying him. If we do sign Pierce , which I believe will ultimately happen with Doc at the helm, WE HAVE TO SIGN AN ATHLETIC 3-D Small forward.

My Prediction

PG - Paul

SG - Reddick

SF - Ariza

PF - Griffin

C - Jordan

Bench

PG - Livingston

SG - Crawford

SF - Pierce

PF - Big Baby

C - Brandon Wright

I just see that as soon as Pierce gets here , his body will start declining and breaking down and he will stay injured. I think we will get a feel closer to the draft

HyperFuse
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if Deandre has a greater or equal season then we aren't gonna be able to have Chris, Blake and Deandre on the same team. He will and fair enough ask for a pay rise. So I'm thinking we trade him and yes i do love the humor and highlights but its gotta be done.

ClipTakeover
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I think DeAndre stays regardless because his best friend is Blake and he has a great relationship with Doc. He seems very happy on the team, so I think we are fine.

ClippersDA
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I think robin Lopez is paid half as much as DJ and is just as productive when it counts. Not wedded to DJ by any means if flipping him can get us a better 3. But I do like him a lot.

Flushyriver
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Wait so we can technically offer DC the 120% of 2.3mill? Awesome. He'll definitely stay now that we can offer him a full half of his market value.

Move Dudley or Barnes I guess. Think getting Pierce, Livingston, and Ariza is a dream, and a silly one at that. We can barely afford to keep the team we have right now together let alone bring in Ariza and Livingston's raises. First thing's first, get the Sterling situation thing taken care of and then let Doc work some magic. Complete trust for the offseason, but still expecting the worst. Expect a tax bill folks.

AirGriffin
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True. I think DJ will stay. I would like to see him get paid a little less to benefit the team a little more. From 11-12 mil he was getting paid to like 9-10 million. Would give team more flexibility.

AirGriffin
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Nope. Getting rid of Barnes would be a big mistake. Big blow to our "veteran-ship", and team chemistry. He is loved and has great hustle. I say we need a new starting SF, so get rid of Dudley and put Barnes as our backup SF which I don't think he would have a problem with seeing as how he would be turning 35 next year. I truly think we can get Ariza. He wants a contender and I'm sure he would love coming back to LA and playing with Chris Paul and play under Doc.

With more chemistry being built, and DJ and Blake evolving even more over the summer, I think the possible addition of adding Ariza and a solid back up center that can defend will skyrocket our chances to make the Finals next year. OR, if and ONLY if, we can't get Ariza or anyone else, I see we test out how far we can push Bullock to see him start if he gets stronger and better over the off season or even Granger if he can return to his all star form, which I think is very possible.

itsLuigi
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you guys think we have any chance of signing gerald green? he'd fit perfectly on this team

Icecoldclipper
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Whatever happens the team should focus around getting younger. I'm tired of the ring chaser/ buyout guys breaking down or hoping to rebuild off the past. Buy some late picks in either round and use summer league to build longevity.

LobAngelesBlakers
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Gerald Green would be amazing. I watched most of the Suns games this year, and he is a hard worker. If Dragic didn't go quite as beast mode as he did this year, Green would have gotten most improved player for sure

clipperboy24
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Bledsoe deserved it more than Greene. Green's improved 3 point shooting really set him apart this year.

ClipperRevival
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We need a very good wing defender. The league is filled with athletic players and we need someone who can check the 2's and 3's. Barnes has been great for us but we can upgrade. And we obviously need another big. Those are our two glaring needs. Dudley is way overpaid. Would like to get something in return for him. I would be happy with Ariza as our starting SF. But seriously, how much of an upgrade is he over Barnes outside of his age and slightly superior athleticism? I don't think that much. Deng would be great. He might be a bit out of place in the fast paced regular season but will be worth it come playoff time.

This team is close. What I am equally worried about is the improvement of DJ. The guy needs to add more to his game and work on his fts. I also hope Blake continues to get better. But a very good SF who can defend (offense would be bonus) and a very solid big are needs. I trust Doc will address both issues.

itsLuigi
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what do yo guys think about beasley?

ClipperKyle32
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I suggested DJ shoot FTs right handed. It worked for the kid up in Cleveland

bebe
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The core of the team should remain. Dudley has not been a great contributor this season and can be traded along with Bullock. Willie Green should get more playing time, Granger and Big Baby were brought in the middle of the season and will play better next season. Turk played well and I believe we could have won the series if he had not been injured. Paul Pierce still has a couple of good years left, his home is in L.A. and I believe he would love to play with Doc. Look at Fisher, he's playing well for OKC, isn't he the oldest player in the league? Kevin Love would love to come back home. Don't know what position he plays or who would have to leave. Food for thought.

Your Nevada Fans

itsLuigi
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you guys think we could pry channing frye or marcus morris from the suns?

CapsNClips
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I don't think Frye will opt out of almost $7mil next year. If he does decide to opt out I'd be happy to sign him for around $4mil.

CapsNClips
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I don't think Frye will opt out of almost $7mil next year. If he does decide to opt out I'd be happy to sign him for around $4mil.

danielson
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As much as I love DJ's attitude, I would consider trading him for Marc Gasol. Marc will probably walk after next year.

itsLuigi
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oh, didn't know he was making 7mil next year, that a little too much. he would have been a perfect backup for blake.

I wouldn't mind taking a shot at marcus. pheonix seems to use markieff more. he could be that long athletic sf we need.

Icecoldclipper
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Wouldn't mind him I can't see him working on the bench unless we surround Jamal and him with defenders. Think with us his best use would be the bench PF behind Blake that could play with Jordan. When we go full second unit defenders need to be there to spot our scorers.

ClipperKyle32
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Money Committed: $66,322,769

Contracts Expiring: Ryan Hollins (unrestricted), Hedo Turkoglu (unrestricted)

Player Options: Darren Collison ($1,985,500), Glen Davis ($1,227,985), Danny Granger ($1,316,809)

Team Options: None

Non-Guaranteed Salaries: Jamal Crawford ($5,450,000, guaranteed for $1,500,000), Willie Green ($1,448,490, fully unguaranteed)

Potential Maximum Committed: $76,251,553

The Los Angeles Clippers may be capped out heading into the offseason, but they're already going to be in fantastic shape.

Neither Ryan Hollins nor Hedo Turkoglu was a key contributor during the 2013-14 campaign, so it's unlikely that any member of the front office is going to be particularly choked up if another team steals one of them away. The guys with player options are slightly more important, though.

Danny Granger will probably opt out and make more money elsewhere, especially if he feels confident in his health. Glen Davis should do the same thing, though he might realize that he'd benefit from continuing his NBA education under head coach Doc Rivers.

Then there's Darren Collison, who's the trickiest of the bunch.

On one hand, Collison proved his value when he stepped up throughout the season, both without Chris Paul in the lineup and when coming off the bench as an offensive spark. But on the other hand, he's in a perfect situation with LAC and could justify making just shy of $2 million to keep showing off his skills in a system conducive to maximizing his talents.

That's the key question of the offseason for the Clippers, as there really isn't much movement necessary with this lineup. Of course, it would be beneficial to trade Jared Dudley for a second-round draft pick or a backup big man, but that's a discussion for another time and place.

laboy
Clipper 6th Man
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the numbers on hoops hype is total...73.6

with player option for ...davis 1.4

and collison..1.9

and team option for green...1.4..

that leaves us with ...11 players and 3 mil under cap???

how are we going to get 3 players with 3 mil???

and play the season with 14 players??

our team would be weaker than last year..

and if collision leaves....we have almost 5 mil...and no back up point guard..

who do we trade?????

laboy
Clipper 6th Man
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irwing and deng...for paul...????? maybe we can trade pics too??

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