Clippers Players Outlook (from a Fantasy League viewpoint)

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david
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Here's an interesting article that talks about various Clipper players in the fantasy setting. The author takes into account the effect of Brand being out. Here's a snippet:


There's some debate as to when Brand will be able to return to the court, but I'm not expecting anything until February at the earliest -- and even that is an optimistic timeline. Sure, it's possible that Brand could turn into this season's version of Pau Gasol, who missed the first six weeks of the 2006-07 season after breaking his foot during the summer only to come back strong and put up career-best averages nearly across the board. However, with an injury as serious as this, it's a bit of a long shot for Brand to do the same.

If Brand can make a swift recovery (remembering that the word "swift," in this case, means February), he'll definitely warrant a late-round selection in head-to-head leagues, since his missed time won't be as detrimental to your season as long as your team is strong enough to make the playoffs. I probably won't be drafting him in Rotisserie formats, but I might take a stab at him in the last few rounds -- and that's only if I feel that I have a deep enough team to have him eating up a roster spot at the end of my bench.

Needless to say, I'm not counting on much out of Brand this year, and without him, the Clippers just aren't a very good basketball team. Let's take a look at some of the players who will be directly affected by the injury:

Cuttino Mobley, SG: Mobley's fantasy stock has plummeted over the last few years (since he moved to L.A.), but the Brand injury could make him a quality sleeper this season. Mobley's biggest issue since joining the Clippers has been a lack of shots, not just from the floor, but also from behind the arc. In fact, the Clippers have ranked 29th in the league in attempted 3s in each of the past two seasons. That had a lot to do with the fact that their offense revolved around Brand in the paint. The Clips will have to reinvent themselves this season, and that might mean more 3-point attempts for Mobley and the rest of the squad. Cuttino will need to become more active on the offensive end, and since he has been able to maintain his shooting percentages over the past few years, I could see him easily averaging 15-16 points, 1.5 3-pointers and 1.2 steals per contest this season.

Corey Maggette, SF: Maggette is the big winner here, but that's assuming he doesn't get injured himself, as he's been known to do in the past. He was a major disappointment last year, averaging just 16.9 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.9 steals in only 30.6 minutes per game. But with Brand out, he'll not only see more minutes but also become the No. 1 offensive option on a team that doesn't have many scorers. I'm thinking we'll see something similar to his 2004-05 campaign, when he put up 22.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.1 steals in 36.9 minutes per game. Maggette's greatest fantasy strength is his ability to get to the free-throw line at a high rate; he's shooting 82.0 percent for his career. Now that he'll be the go-to guy on the offensive end, he should be able to get to the line 10 or more times per game, and he'll be a dominant force in the free-throw percentage category for any fantasy team.

Al Thornton, F: The Clippers probably have no shot at making the playoffs without Brand, which means they won't waste any time getting Thornton the minutes he needs to gain some experience. Thornton was one of the draft's most athletic players, and he has the pure talent to dominate at any level. I still think he has room for growth and for refining his game, but that doesn't mean he can't have fantasy value this year. Remember, this is a guy who averaged 19.7 points, 7.2 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 1.1 blocks and 1.0 3-pointers per game while shooting .530 from the floor and .790 from the line at Florida State last year. The potential for multi-category production, combined with the fact that he'll most likely see 30-32 minutes per game this season, makes Thornton a quality sleeper candidate in fantasy leagues. Just be sure to remember that he'll be a high-risk/high-reward selection due to his lack of experience.

Full article:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/baske ... e=nbanb810

jlemmen43
Clipper All-Star
Posts: 1403
Location: Green Bay, WI
votes: 10

Hmm...about what I'd expect to hear from the media. How bout the Clippers play team basketball and the only # that matters is the one before the - (hyphen)?? I'm looking forward to that.

david
Site Admin
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votes: 42

Agreed JLemm- team basketball- that's going to be the key on both offense and defense.

clipper*joe
CTB MVP Champion
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Location: los angeles
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I have to say that he pretty much makes sense about the individual players but his opinion on the team stinks!

If you combine the best element from each player , it's pretty much good news to me. Mobley has pretty much kept his % up from years past which means he can still shoot. Maybe this year, Mike D will let him shoot more. Maggette will be the first option which I completely agree with. Those #'s from 2004-2005 are great, similar to Brand's last year. His ability to take it to the hoop is second to none. With Brand out, I assume he will take full advantage...hopefully do it in a smart way. Al Thorton physical ability will make his presence felt. Just like the author states;"He has pure talent to dominate in any level". All three players bring something different to the team. Now, if they can play as a team I see no problems staying afloat till Brand comes back. Remember if we are at .500 when Brand returns, we are in the hunt!

jlemmen43
Clipper All-Star
Posts: 1403
Location: Green Bay, WI
votes: 10

Yeah, the whole "Maggette was dissapointing last year" is B.S. He improved his game. The only reason they're knocking him is cuz his numbers werent up higher cuz he didnt start the first half of the season. I'm not dissing Fantasy leagues or people who play them, but it does blur the facts. This writer makes the "lack of stellar stats" look like the actual play of the team. I dont like that, but I guess it's intended to be advice for fantasy owners.

TD
Clipper Rookie
Posts: 73
Location: Peoria, Illinois
votes: 0

He didn't mention Kamen or Cassell. I think both will get more minutes and shots. I am also concerned about a Maggette injury. This is likely with his style and the likely number of touches. We need to plan for this possibility.

clipper*joe
CTB MVP Champion
Posts: 15845
Location: los angeles
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This fantasy league is based on "What have you done for me lately" mentality. Both Kaman and Cassell didn't produce enough to merit any mention. Both were injured and Kaman underachieved so the author was right in not mentioning both of them. I doesn't bother me any, I sure things will work out for them.

I wouldn't jump to any conclusions about Maggette. He ended the season on a good note. He produced and played good minutes.

Now don't go and start to worry about situations that haven't happened yet. If we start to worry it might just happen. By that rational, we should start planning for everyone's possibility of getting hurt. That just isn't realistic. C'mon TD , let's not worry too much...

david
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Actually TD the article did mention Kaman & Cassell (I didn't copy the entire article)- if you click through you can see it. ClipperJoe and JLemm are right- the fantasy league is based purely on statistics so that guys is writing from purely that standpoint. Knock on wood with Corey!

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